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Old 11-02-17, 04:01 PM
Monclova Steve Monclova Steve is offline
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Originally Posted by wolves82 View Post
I did think and posted numbers showing you the foolishness of your statements.

For the record, I have posted twice that I agree with Winker in the OF and leading off, and Billy as 4th OF. But I dispute your claim that by doing this it is not plausible to expect the Reds as a team to increase their runs scored by 100. I explained why.

Assuming that Winker plays 150 plus games as leadoff, maintains his 2017 OBP rate (yet to be proven), he could score 100 runs. That is +15 over Billy.

But expecting Billy to score the other 85 as a pinch runner is a pure dream. You did not answer my questions about that. Re-read that and answer it.
Billy would have to score even more than 85 as a pinch runner. He would have to score the 85 he scored last year PLUS what the guys that he replaced on the bases would have scored anyway -- ALL in a very limited role.

I agree that, while this might be a possibility as a lineup change, to say the Reds as a team would score 100 more runs by doing this just doesn't measure up when the entire picture is analyzed.

Nice idea to surmise, though. Thanks, IndianDad, for bringing it up.

Last edited by Monclova Steve; 11-02-17 at 04:12 PM..